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According to South Korean media reports on the 12th, South Korea's National Archives Institute and the President's Archives began to check the emergency martial law related files.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.Ferrous lithium phosphate has strong demand, so it is hard to hide the embarrassment of "meager profit" because the orders of enterprises are full. In December, the Ferrous lithium phosphate market continued to heat up, and most enterprises had full orders. However, contrary to the fiery market, it is still difficult for most enterprises to reverse the "meager profit" situation. "From the market situation, the growth in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage markets has promoted the warming of the Ferrous lithium phosphate market. Most Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises are affected by factors such as rising raw material prices, weak bargaining power of products and fierce competition in the industry, resulting in pressure on profits. " Yu Xiaoming, a senior investment consultant of Shaanxi Jufeng Investment Information Co., Ltd., said that in the long run, with the technological progress and market expansion, the profitability of Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises is expected to improve. (Securities Daily)

Front page of securities daily: vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of current macro policy. The front page article of securities daily points out that consumption is the ballast stone for stable economic operation. In recent years, China has issued a series of policies to promote consumption, which has brought vitality to the consumer market; The rapid development of some emerging consumption patterns has brought new growth points to the consumer market. However, we must also see that residents' consumer confidence still needs to be enhanced. Therefore, it is necessary to take multiple measures simultaneously, constantly consolidate the foundation of consumption growth, enhance residents' willingness and ability to consume, and promote the sustained recovery of the consumer market. First, increase residents' income through multiple channels and improve their spending power. Income is the primary factor that determines consumption. With income, residents have the confidence to spend. Therefore, on the one hand, it is necessary to increase residents' property income through multiple channels and enhance residents' consumption ability and willingness; On the other hand, it is necessary to increase support for key groups and enhance the overall consumption capacity. Second, further support the trade-in of consumer goods. Third, promote the upgrading and expansion of service consumption.The output of new energy vehicles takes the lead to seize the new highland of intelligent competition. BYD, GAC Ai 'an and Xpeng Motors, these new energy vehicle brands have helped Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area become the highland of new energy vehicle industry in China. The data shows that one out of every four new energy vehicles in China is "made in Guangdong". At present, a number of leading enterprises in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area have emerged, such as Shenzhen Yinwang, Zhuoyu, Wen Yuan Zhixing, Xiaoma Zhixing, Desai Xiwei and Sagitar Juchuang, which have formed a perfect intelligent networked automobile industry chain. According to the insiders, intelligentization provides power for the "second half" of the development of new energy automobile industry, and Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is seizing the new highland of intelligent networked automobile industry.Market participants: In 2025, the steel industry may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. At the 2025 China steel market prospect and the annual meeting of "My Steel", whether the profit space of steel enterprises can be enlarged in 2025, whether the supply-side capacity will be withdrawn in an orderly manner, and what factors should be relied on for the long-term development of enterprises have become the minds of many participants. The industry believes that the survival pressure of steel enterprises may be eased in 2025. The upstream supply of iron ore, coke and coking coal will reduce their prices, and the cost of steel enterprises will fall. The market may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. Market participants said that although steel prices are still expected to decline in 2025, the profit margin of steel enterprises may increase. (SSE)

Bank of Brazil: The Committee has been paying close attention to how recent financial developments affect monetary policy and financial assets.Market information: Israeli air strikes targeted the Palestinian people carrying security aid trucks in Rafah, causing medical casualties.Japanese enterprise survey: Enterprises believe that Trump's next presidential term will have a negative impact on the business environment, and 60% of Japanese enterprises expect that the trading range of USD/JPY will be between 140 and 150 by 2025. Half of Japanese companies expect higher profits in the next fiscal year.